EU-licensed · a record of judgment
VigFi Experts turns a forecast into a signed, dated, sourced receipt — then scores it forever. Follow the people who were right early, before consensus prices it in.
489 receipts resolved · 69% mean accuracy · computed, never typed
Carlos Ferrer · Real estate · Spain
Probability
68%
Deadline
30 SEP 2025
Source
DOGV — Generalitat Valenciana official gazette
Brier 0.10 · logged 07 Nov 2024 · immutable
Anatomy of a receipt
Every number on this page is computed from documents like this one — accuracy, calibration, and rank all derive from the receipts. Here is the specimen, field by field.
Carlos Ferrer · Real estate · Spain
Probability
68%
Deadline
31 DEC 2026
Source
DOGV — Generalitat Valenciana official gazette
Awaiting source · resolves by 31 Dec 2026
A precise, yes/no statement about the real world — no vibes, no hedging into nothing.
How confident the expert actually is. Hand-set once, then graded against what happened.
A date the question must resolve by. The clock is what turns an opinion into a stake.
The named, checkable feed that settles it — a gazette, a registry, an official series.
Green if reality confirmed the call, red if it didn’t. Pressed in once, immutable after.
The wall of seals
Wins in green, open calls in gold, misses in red — shown, never hidden. A record you can’t cherry-pick is the only one worth paying for.
Carlos Ferrer
Real estate · Spain
72%
47 resolved
Anna Ozola
Commodities · Baltics
68%
38 resolved
Mark Whitfield
Energy · Global
75%
61 resolved
Sofía Marín
Real estate · Spain
70%
44 resolved
Ravi Menon
Technology · Global
65%
52 resolved
Jānis Bērziņš
Forestry · Latvia
70%
33 resolved
Layla Haddad
Real estate · UAE
65%
40 resolved
Diego Fuentes
Agriculture · Global
70%
46 resolved
Mia Larsen
Digital assets · Global
60%
58 resolved
Tomás Rey
Sports · Europe
79%
70 resolved
The Reputation Index · a credit score for judgment
Accuracy, calibration, depth of record, and how live the desk is — folded into a single VigFi Score, with real 90-day movement. Each field gets its own leaderboard and a reputation-weighted VigFi Consensus.
Does the ink match reality?
Calibration is the test charisma can’t fake: when an expert says 70%, does it actually happen about 70% of the time? The closer the dots hug the line, the more honest the forecaster.
Carlos Ferrer
Brier 0.194 · 47 resolved
“Well calibrated in his core 50–80% range — when Carlos says 60%, it happens about 62% of the time.”
The registry · eight rooms
2 expertsValencia, Costa del Sol, Dubai — licences, yields, prime pricing.
2 expertsLatvian forest parcels, Baltic timber, EU subsidy windows.
1 expertTanker rates, routing risk, crude flows, freight economics.
1 expertGPU supply, model economics, the next compute squeeze.
1 expertBlack Sea grain flows, harvest risk, the basis trade.
1 expertLiquidity, ETF flows, market-structure edge — no shilling.
1 expertOff-plan risk, handover delays, where prime actually clears.
1 expertDone-deal probabilities before the tier-1 journalists.
The field · structured feed
A precise business feed — not Instagram, not LinkedIn. Every voice, expert or company, is badged to exactly one field, and every post, review, and call is dated, sourced, and anchored. Follow the fields you actually work in.
A weather scare is the catalyst; the balance sheet alone doesn’t get there.
Structural long bias persists, but a deleveraging flips it fast — low conviction by design.
Advanced-packaging and HBM3E capacity still lag wafer starts; this is the bottleneck the Street keeps under-weighting.
Shelter disinflation is finally feeding through; base effects do most of the remaining work into the autumn.
Two sides of the counter
Buy timing, not opinions. Follow the people whose receipts already resolved right, and act before consensus catches up.
Turn hard-won judgment into a public, compounding asset. The seal goes on your name — and people pay to be in the room.
For experts · claim your ledger
You fill in a blank receipt: the claim, your probability, the deadline, the source. We stamp it OPEN, and from then on reality keeps score for you.
Members subscribe to your room and your calls — predictable monthly revenue.
Every resolved receipt adds to a record no competitor can fake or delete.
Prove who you are a single time; after that, the ledger speaks for you.
Illustrative
€29/mo × 1,840 members
Probability
71%
Deadline
01 OCT 2026
Source
Public provider pricing pages
Awaiting source · resolves by 01 Oct 2026
Membership · credentials, not paywalls
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The intimate layer. You’re at the table with the people making the calls.
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You don’t just join the inside. You build it.
The fine print, proudly
Accuracy is the share of resolved calls that were directionally right. Brier measures calibration. Both are computed from the receipts — we type none of it by hand.
A record you can’t cherry-pick is the only one worth trusting. Red seals stay. They make the green ones believable.
Probability, deadline, and source are fixed when a forecast is published. Nothing is edited after the fact — that is the point.
VigFi is a licensed EU prediction platform. Expert profiles and figures here are illustrative while the product is in preview.
Follow the people who were right early — or put your own judgment on the record.
